Books + Pools.
One terminal for prediction.
Route liquid markets to orderbooks. Spin up pari-mutuel pools for everything else. Stop arguing about the best mechanism—use the right one.
Prediction markets have two dirty secrets nobody talks about.
Long-tail markets die from liquidity starvation
Orderbooks need market makers. Market makers need volume. Volume needs liquidity. It's a chicken-and-egg death spiral for any market that isn't "Will Trump win?"
The platform is your counterparty
When a new market launches, someone seeds it. That someone holds positions. This creates misaligned incentives—the platform profits when you lose.
Pari-mutuel pools solve both problems.
The crowd IS the market. First dollar and last dollar are treated equally. We take a flat fee, never a directional bet.
No market maker required
The crowd provides all liquidity
No platform position
We win when markets resolve, not when you lose
True price discovery
Odds emerge from where money flows
Cold-start friendly
$100 pool works the same as $1M pool
"Orderbooks are for traders. Pools are for believers."
— Different users, different mechanics, same truth-seeking outcome.
Use the right tool for the job.
| Aspect | Books (CLOB) | Pools (Pari-mutuel) |
|---|---|---|
| Liquidity source | Market makers, LPs | The crowd itself |
| At launch | Platform seeds capital | First bettor sets odds |
| Platform position | Often holds shares | Never (fee only) |
| Low liquidity | Wide spreads, unusable | Works fine |
| Exit early | Yes (sell) | Limited (penalty) |
| Mental model | "Trading" | "Taking a stance" |
| Best for | High-volume, liquid | Long-tail, niche |
Active Markets
Will ETH hit $5k before March 2025?
Farcaster daily active users > 100k by Q2?
Will Solana process 100k TPS on mainnet?
Books
High-volume markets with deep liquidity route directly to Polymarket's orderbook. Tight spreads, instant execution, exit anytime.
2024 Presidential Election Winner
Fed Rate Decision - January 2025
Super Bowl LVIII Winner
Zero friction from landing to betting.
Connect
Email, Google, Twitter, or existing wallet. We create an embedded Solana wallet instantly.
Fund
On-ramp USDC directly. No crypto required. No bridge. No friction.
Bet
Pick a side. Your bet shifts the odds. Others react. Truth emerges.
Claim
Market resolves. Winners claim proportional share. Losers learn.
Truth, priced.
Zero-sum games. Positive-signal markets. One terminal for everything.